Expect[ed] Loss

––– a weblog focusing on fixed income financial markets, and disconnects within them

Thursday, June 16, 2011

A TruPS UPdate

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The TruPS CDO market has shown renewed signs of life over the last six or so months, for the first time really since 2007. While the rating ...
Tuesday, June 14, 2011

An Aversion to Mean Reversion

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Last Wednesday’s Financial Times hosted a scathing column by Luke Johnson, which questions the usefulness of economists, as a whole (see “ ...
1 comment:
Wednesday, June 8, 2011

Is Wall Street Guilty?

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“If Wall Street is bilking Main Street on such simple deals–basic trade execution-and yet the only way to recover is to sue, what real chanc...
1 comment:
Thursday, May 19, 2011

A Telling Tale of Two Tables

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Just how difficult is it to measure ratings performance, and how useful are the measures, really? There are certain difficulties we all know...
Friday, May 13, 2011

Adverse Selection? No Problem!

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A section from their rating methodology piece "Moody’s Approach To Rating U.S. Bank Trust Preferred Security CDOs" describes its p...
2 comments:
Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Pricing Transparency

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Professor Allan Meltzer argues, in yesterday’s WSJ article BlackRock's 'Geeky Guys' Business , that BlackRock Solutions’s prici...
Monday, May 2, 2011

The Data Reside in the Field

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In the New York Times ' “ Needed: A Clearer Crystal Ball ” (Sunday Business pg. 4) professor Robert Shiller claims that if we sharpen ou...
Friday, April 22, 2011

Ratings Reversals

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Back in our December 2010 piece ( The Psychological Biases of Holding Downgraded Bonds ) we commented on what was to us a rather unusual tre...
Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Split Ratings

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Given the high correlation between security prices and their ratings, we wanted to follow up on some of our prior pieces that contemplated t...
Thursday, April 7, 2011

Contested Pricings List

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The capacity for price manipulation or price inflation presents a major challenge for the market to overcome, especially in the illiquid ma...
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