Expect[ed] Loss

––– a weblog focusing on fixed income financial markets, and disconnects within them

Thursday, June 20, 2013

AAAs still Junk -- in 2013!

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Breaking news : Several securities, boasting ratings higher than France and Britain as of two weeks ago, are now thought quite likely to def...
Monday, June 17, 2013

Outdated Ratings

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Two Bloomberg reporters wrote a thought-provoking piece late last week (see Lost AAA Brings Falling Yields-to-Deficits on Downgrade ) on t...
1 comment:
Tuesday, June 11, 2013

There's Always a Model

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Opponents of quantitative credit models and their use in bond ratings contend that the decision to default is a human choice that does not ...
Monday, May 13, 2013

An Open Source Alternative to No Bid Contracts

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At Muniland, Cate Long reports  that the US Treasury Department’s Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) awarded Municipal Market...
Monday, April 8, 2013

Dispelling a Myth or Two about the Ratings Lawsuits

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Since the Justice Department sued S&P for fraud in February, the media has been awash with concerns as to whether a lawsuit against Moo...
Friday, March 15, 2013

Are Credit Ratings Opinions?

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The Justice Department's lawsuit against S&P made us reconsider whether the ratings provided by S&P were "opinions." ...
2 comments:
Monday, March 4, 2013

Are the Rating Agencies in Sync?

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This morning's Financial Time s brought with it another wonderful article by Arturo Cifuentes.  Much of his commentary on ratings refor...
7 comments:
Friday, February 15, 2013

Moody's "Expects" DoJ Lawsuit to Cost S&P Less than $10mm

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Wow, we're finally talking "expect[ed] loss." So here's the theory.  Moody's and Fitch have both been considering...
4 comments:
Tuesday, February 5, 2013

The S&P Lawsuit: Can It Fix the Rating System?

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The government's lawsuit against S&P has triggered speculation about why DOJ singled out just one agency  and whether cases against...
3 comments:
Friday, February 1, 2013

California v Ontario - The Deep Dive

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In a previous blog post , I reported some figures showing that California is in significantly better fiscal condition than Canada’s largest...
1 comment:
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